POST GLOBALIZATION
COMMENTARIES 2001-2007
MADE IN CHINA
THE TWO SOULS OF TURKEY
THE NEW GLOBAL CINEMA
MAKING GLOBALIZATION WORK
DE-GLOBALIZE THE JIHAD
THE THIRD WAVE'S THIRD WAY
PLANET OF SLUMS
THE GLOBAL IDEOLOGY
OF FEAR
THE OTHER
POST-NATIONAL
LITERATURE
COLLAPSE OR MASSIVE
CHANGE?
THE RISE AND FALL OF
AMERICA'S SOFT POWER
THE SCIENTIFIC IMAGINATION
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
THE HEADSCARF CONTROVERSY
SCULPTURE AND THE
NEW SCIENCE
BIOTECH AND THE
NEW BABEL
WAR THROUGH THE
BACK DOOR
ANTIAMERICANISM
THE RISING SOFT POWER
OF CHINA & INDIA
THE BUSH DOCTRINE
FAIRNESS IN A FRAGILE
WORLD
AMERICA'S MIGHT
ISLAM IN THE 21ST CENTURY
ANTIGLOBOS
HOT PEACE
MODUS VIVENDI
LOOKING NORTH
FROM WELL HAVING TO
WELL BEING
POST-HUMAN HISTORY
GLOBAPHOBIA
THE GLOBAL MIND
AFTER KOSOVO
FROM VIETNAM TO KOSOVO
DEGLOBALIZATION?
THE RISE OF THE MEDIA-
INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX
BOOM [NUCLEAR] AND
[BUST] ECONOMIC IN ASIA
BEYOND CAPITALISM
ASIAN CRISIS
CHINA: THE ASIAN
RENAISSANCE
SLOW IS BEAUTIFUL
ECLIPSE OF THE BIG
PICTURE
AFTER THE END OF
HISTORY
THE EAST IS RED AGAIN
HALF-A-HEGEMON
THIRD WAVE TERRORISM
HEIMAT
Fall 1987
Winter 1987
Spring 1986
Fall-Winter '84-'85
Spring 1984
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The End of American Exceptionalism
FRANCIS FUKUYAMA is the author of The End of History
And the Last Man.
Washington-As
with individuals, adversity can have many positive effects. Enduring national
character is shaped by shared trauma, as in the case of postwar Japanese
pacifism or German monetary orthodoxy. The modern European state was forged
under pressure of war and conflict, and conflict was critical to state-building
in the United States as well. The Civil War created for the first time
a centralized federal government, while the second world war finally thrust
the US into an international role.
Peace and prosperity, by contrast, encourage preoccupation with one's
own petty affairs and allow people to forget that they are parts of larger
communities. The long economic boom of the Clinton years and America's
easy dominance of world politics has allowed Americans to wallow in such
self-indulgent behavior as political scandal or identity politics, or
partisanship that has grown more strident as the underlying issues have
narrowed. Many Americans lost interest in public affairs, and in the larger
world beyond America's borders; others expressed growing contempt for
government.
This was nowhere more true than in the world of high-tech and finance,
where a kind of techno-libertarianism took hold in the 1990s. The government,
by this view, contributed nothing useful and stood in the way of the true
"value-creators." The nation state was said to be obsolete;
technology and capital were inherently borderless and could evade efforts
by national jurisdictions to tie them down. The apostles of the New Economy
declared the irrelevance of everything invented before the Internet, and
of any skills other than their own. I was shocked when a portfolio-manager
friend told me a while back that he was seriously considering renouncing
his American citizenship and moving to the Bahamas to avoid paying US
taxes.
In this respect, the attacks on Wall Street were a salutary lesson.
The weightlessness of the new economy will not protect you from falling
concrete; your hope in this kind of crisis is the heroism of firefighters
and policemen (several hundred of whom were killed during the attack).
Microsoft or Goldman Sachs will not send aircraft carriers and f16s to
the Gulf to track down Osama bin Laden; only the military will. The 1990s
saw the social and economic gulf widen between the Harvard- and Stanford-educated
investment bankers, lawyers, and software engineers who worked in those
twin towers, and the blue-collar types who went to their rescue.
This shared victimization powerfully reminds Americans that they are all
in the end mutually dependent members of the same community. The World
Trade Center attack will also lead to salutary changes in America's relationship
to the outside world.
Over the past decade, both Republicans and Democrats have flirted with
isolationism: with the former it takes the form of a rejection of global
engagement; with the latter it is a matter of economic protectionism and
an unwillingness to fund defense.
Now and for the foreseeable future, isolationism is off the table. No
one should underestimate how angry Americans are, and what lengths they
will go to see that their attackers are punished.
Before Tuesday, there was a big argument over whether the US could fund
a paltry $18 billion increase in defense spending; now, much larger sums
are in store whether or not a budget surplus exists. Priorities will change
as well: missile defense will remain an objective, but will likely fall
in priority relative to requirements for better intelligence, power projection,
and capabilities to deal with so-called "asymmetric" threats.
But the bigger change will be psychological. Not since Pearl Harbor has
an enemy been able to kill Americans on American soil, and that was in
far-off Hawaii; Washington DC has been inviolable since the British burned
the White House in the war of 1812.
This has laid the ground for a certain kind of exceptionalism in American
foreign policy: US territory was always a safe haven; the US typically
considered the pros and cons of intervention in foreign countries, but
never had to contend with foreign countries intervening in the US. The
consequences entailed by past US intervention were borne either by American
allies, or by US interests abroad, and never directly by US citizens.
The Gulf war and Kosovo were utterly antiseptic in this regard, and set
up unrealistic expectations that the US could shape events without cost
in American lives. This has now changed.
What is today labeled "asymmetrical" warfare has actually become
symmetrical in the sense that America's enemies have for the first time
developed the capability to reach out and touch Americans directly in
response to US actions. This means, of course, that isolationism is not
an option. But it also sets up a kind of deterrence, in which the US for
the first time will have to consider the direct costs of its actions.
This will not ultimately constrain the US from acting, but it will force
on it a certain kind of realism as it interacts with the world.
A war against terrorism means defeating your enemy militarily, which may
require striking preemptively against those who threaten you, as the Israelis
have done, and going after the states that support your enemies. An operation
of this sort cannot be accomplished with pinprick cruise missile strikes
carried out from the sanctuary of the US homeland, but will require sustained
military operations in distant parts of the world.
The US, for all its power, cannot do this alone. If the objective turns
out to be Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan, then the US will need the help
of, at a minimum, Russia, Pakistan, and perhaps China to provide a base
of operations. It will need the political co-operation of moderate Arab
states for intelligence sharing, and military help from its European allies.
It will, in short, need to create a coalition, and cut deals to make the
coalition work.
This is a formula not for unilateralism, but for co-operative engagement.
The US is likely to emerge from the attacks a different country, more
unified, less self-absorbed, and much more in need of the help of its
friends to carry out what will become a new national project of defeating
terrorism. And it may also become a more ordinary country in the sense
of having concrete interests and real vulnerabilities, rather than thinking
itself able unilaterally to define the nature of the world it lives in.
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